18强赛出线预测：国足7%直达世界杯，36%参加附加赛，出局概率57%

22nd November News - With over half of the 18th round of matches in the Asian Qualifiers for the World Cup completed, a simulation has been conducted to predict the final qualifying scenarios for each group.

According to the simulation, the Chinese national team has a 7% chance of finishing in the top two and advancing directly to the World Cup from Group C. There is a 36% chance of finishing in the third or fourth place and qualifying for the fourth round of playoffs, and a 57% chance of finishing in fifth or sixth and failing to advance.

The situation in Group A and Group B is relatively clear, with Iran and South Korea almost certain to qualify. Uzbekistan and Iraq are also in a relatively optimistic position.

In terms of other teams in Group C, the simulation shows that Japan has a 100% chance of finishing in the top two and securing direct qualification. Australia is also considered a strong candidate for direct qualification, with a 73% chance. The competition for the 4th to 6th positions and the qualifying spots is more complicated.

Attached is the current standings in the Asian Qualifiers.