巴西统治比赛逆转颓势 数据揭示上半场占据优势

09:00 on September 7th, Beijing time, the 7th round of the South American World Cup qualifiers group stage kicked off, with Brazil hosting Ecuador. The home team has not won in the last 4 rounds of the group stage, but despite facing a strong Ecuador side, the official odds still give Brazil a 1.25 home win, indicating their chances of ending their slump.

Brazil, ranked fifth in the world, is considered one of the top teams globally. However, their performance in the South American qualifiers has been less than ideal, with 4 consecutive winless games and only 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the 6 group stage matches, placing them last in the World Cup qualification zone. If they fail to win this game, their upcoming schedule will be extremely difficult. Despite the absence of Neymar due to injury, Brazil's lineup is relatively intact, with the Real Madrid trio of Vinicius, Rodrigo, and Eder Militao leading the front line. Moreover, in the past 12 encounters between the two teams, Brazil has won 8 times and drawn 4 times. With advantages in lineup, previous records, and mentality, Brazil is determined to defeat their opponents and end their slump.

Ecuador has performed well in the South American qualifiers, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in 6 games, giving them a high unbeaten rate. However, it is worth noting that the team was deducted 3 points for falsifying player birth certificates, leaving them with only a 1-point advantage over Brazil. Furthermore, Ecuador announced a change in head coach on August 1st, and this match will be the new coach's debut. The new tactics are still being worked out, making it difficult for Ecuador to come out unscathed against the formidable Brazil team.

The official odds for this match are 1.25 (Brazil win), 4.60 (draw), and 9.20 (Ecuador win). From a statistical perspective, it is clear that the overall direction is not optimistic about Ecuador's chances of getting points in this game. In terms of halftime/fulltime results, the odds for a Brazil win at both halftime and fulltime are 1.85, followed by a draw at halftime and a Brazil win at fulltime at 3.60. This suggests that if Brazil wins, they are more likely to take the lead in the first half and maintain it until the end of the game.